1Comparative Political Economy of Dictatorships

2Causes and Consequences of Democratization

3Surveys and Experiments in Autocracies and Developing States

Monograph

• The Dictator’s Dilemma at the Ballot Box: Electoral Manipulation, Economic Maneuvering, and Political Order in Autocracies. 2022. The University of Michigan Press (The Weiser Center for Emerging Democracies Series)[Ed A Hewett Book Prize (Honorable Mention), 2023 ASEEES PRIZE] [The 44th IDE-JETRO Award for the Studies of Developing Countries]

Articles

• “Democracy and State Development: Patterns of Public Spending in the First Two Waves of Democratization. ”(with Austin M. Mitchell) 2024. Comparative Political Studies. Online First.
• “Democratic Reforms in Dictatorships: Elite Divisions, Party Origins, and the Prospects of Political Liberalization. ”(with Adrian del Rio) 2024. Comparative Political Studies. Online First.
• “Unpacking Political Parties in Autocracies: What Party Structures Reveal About Party Strategies and Patterns of Regime Survival.” (with Erica Frantz) 2024. Democratization, 2417895.
• “The Dynamics of Electoral Manipulation and Institutional Trust in Democracies: Election Timing, Blatant Fraud, and the Legitimacy of Governance.” (with Hisashi Kadoya and Yuki Yanai) 2024. Public Opinion Quarterly,nfae022.
• “Autocratization and Development.” 2024. In Aurel Croissant and Luca Tomini eds. Routledge Handbook of Autocratization. Chapter 25, pp.349-361.
• “Political Regimes and Refugee Entries: The Preferences and Decisions of Displaced Persons and Host Governments.” (with Yujin Woo) 2024. International Studies Quarterly. 68-2, sqae077
• “Measuring National Refugee Policies: Recent Trends and Implications for Future Development.” (with Yujin Woo) 2023. Interdisciplinary Information Sciences 29-2 : 109-117.
• “Varieties of Clientelism across Political Parties: New Measures of Patron-Client Relationships.” (with Hidekuni Washida) 2023. Online First. European Political Science Review.
• “When Does the Honeymoon End? Electoral Cycles of Satisfaction with Democracy in Africa.” (with Nicholas Kerr) 2023. Political Psychology 44-4: 709-728.
• “The Choice of Electoral Systems in Electoral Autocracies.” (with Eric C. C. Chang) 2023. Government and Opposition 58-1: 106-128.
• “The Perils of Parliamentarism: Executive Selection Systems and Transitions to Democracy from Electoral Authoritarianism.” (with Yuko Kasuya) 2022. Studies in Comparative International Development 57: 198-220.
• “Political Liberalization and Human Development: Dynamic Effects of Political Regime Change on Infant Mortality across Three Centuries (1800-2015).” (with Susumu Annaka) 2021. World Development 147: 1-11"
• “Blatant Electoral Fraud and the Value of a Vote." 2021. Japanese Journal of Political Science 22: 1-14
• “Economic Institutions and Autocratic Breakdown: Monetary Constraints and Fiscal Spending in Dominant-Party Regimes.” (with Cristina Bodea and Ana Carolina Garriga) 2019. The Journal of Politics 81-2: 601-615
• “Ethnic Inequality and the Strength of Ethnic Identities in Sub-Saharan Africa.” (with Christian Houle) 2018. Political Behavior 40-4: 909-932
• “Central Bank Independence and Fiscal Policy: Incentives to Spend and Constraints on the Executive.” (with Cristina Bodea) 2017. British Journal of Political Science 47-1: 47-70
• “Elections, Ethnic Parties, and Ethnic Identification in New Democracies: Evidence from the Baltic Countries.” (with Ryo Nakai) 2016. Studies in Comparative International Development 51-2: 124-146
• “Oil and Civil Conflict: Can Public Spending Have a Mitigation Effect?” (with Cristina Bodea and Raju Jan Singh) 2016. World Development 78: 1 - 12
• “Can Contentious Elections Overthrow Leaders?” In Pippa Norris, Richard Frank, and Ferran Martinetz i Coma eds. 2015. Contentious Elections: From Ballots to Barricades, pp.64 - 85. New York: Routledge